The goal of any machine learning problem is to find a single model that will best predict our wanted outcome. Rather than making one model and hoping this model is the best/most accurate predictor we can make, ensemble methods take a myriad of models into account, and average those models to produce one final model. It is important to note that Decision Trees are not the only form of ensemble methods, just the most popular and relevant in DataScience today.
The Central Limit Theorem is at the core of what every data scientist does daily: make statistical inferences about data. The theorem gives us the ability to quantify the likelihood that our sample will deviate from the population without having to take any new sample to compare it with. We don’t need the characteristics about the whole population to understand the likelihood of our sample being representative of it. The concepts of confidence interval and hypothesis testing are based on the CLT. By knowing that our sample mean will fit somewhere in a normal distribution, we know that 68 percent of the observations lie within one standard deviation from the population mean, 95 percent will lie within two standard deviations and so on. In other words we can say " It all has to do with the distribution of our population. This theorem allows you to simplify problems in statistics by allowing you to work with a distribution that is approximately normal." The CLT is...

Comments
Post a Comment